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Predators at Red Wings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸6
Detroit Red Wings
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDETX·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 14:14 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 29, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nick Blankenburg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Haula (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Blankenburg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    E. Haula1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH1120859629
DETDET07210114331

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Bunting(5)PPG
    N. Blankenburg (6), E. Haula (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:48

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(12)PPG
    D. Larkin (13), L. Raymond (18)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:30
  2. DET
    J. van Riemsdyk(3)PPG
    P. Kane (10), N. Danielson (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:34

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Blankenburg(3)
    R. O'Reilly (8)
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:05
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(2)
    M. Bunting (8), M. McCarron (4)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:20
  3. DET
    B. Chiarot(3)
    M. Appleton (6), J. Compher (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:04
  4. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(7)
    L. Evangelista (10), S. Stamkos (2)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +38 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:14
  5. NSH
    E. Haula(4)
    F. Forsberg (8), J. Marchessault (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    5-3
    14:42
  6. NSH
    S. Stamkos(5)EN
    R. O'Reilly (9), L. Evangelista (11)
    snapxG 0.70win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    18:45

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:09DETNate Danielson · High stickingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:34DETAlex DeBrincat · Slashingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 18:52NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 4:34NSHRoman Josi · Cross checkingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min
  • 9:45DETMoritz Seider · Trippingdrawn by Adam Wilsby2 min
  • 13:35NSHSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 15:03NSHNick Blankenburg · Cross checkingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 17:11DETBen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 20:00NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNSH goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 14:14 — NSH 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.41A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.22P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.16P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.16M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.15A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.12E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.00E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDET
3.75 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.44 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH49%51%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDET
29
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
13
8
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD101+230.21004—23:57
9F. ForsbergL011+140.34300—21:21
90R. O'ReillyC123+310.480005320:02
48N. PerbixD000+110.03100—19:45
76B. SkjeiD000+110.01010—18:42
91S. StamkosC112+230.831126718:28
41N. HagueD000+200.00210—17:06
77L. EvangelistaR022+320.18000—16:55
56E. HaulaL112030.443104716:27
81J. MarchessaultR011+120.04000—16:26
37N. BlankenburgD112+110.35112—16:12
47M. McCarronC011+130.165205315:45
58M. BuntingL112020.30100—15:24
40F. SvechkovC000000.032004014:54
24S. StastneyD000+110.01000—10:28
83A. WilsbyD000000.00010—09:56
89O. WiesblattC000+110.28202009:53
71M. WoodR000010.05100—09:52
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(W)31283.9033.14+0.1460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).