St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Blues scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 0:40 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.2, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were STL 21, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G), 2. Vladislav Gavrikov (2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Lafrenière1 G

- ★★V. Gavrikov2 A

- ★★★V. Trocheck1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-017:36
2nd period
1-110:06
3rd period
1-20:40
1-38:56
2-318:45
Penalties
2nd
- 12:29
Braden Schneider · High stickingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
3rd
- 14:09
Brett Berard · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Neighbours4 min
- 19:57
Vincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 0:40 — 53% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.4
- 1.22 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 1.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 1.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 18
- Hits
- 31
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 6
- Giveaways
- 12
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYR leads 2-0
2@
3this game
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
