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New York Rangers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, MSG·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick DeSimone's goal at 7:32 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYR 22, UTA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick DeSimone (1 G), 2. JJ Peterka (1 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (20 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    N. DeSimone1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    J. Peterka1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka20 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1121307222
UTAUTA11318113334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    pokexG 0.39win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:08
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:19

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:07
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:15

3rd period

  1. UTA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.04win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:32

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:02UTABarrett Hayton · Hookingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

2nd

  • 4:26NYRMatthew Robertson · Interferencedrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 4:26UTALogan Cooley · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 11:40UTALogan Cooley · Trippingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
  • 19:30NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Slashingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalNYR goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Nick DeSimone, 3rd 7:32 — UTA 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.43J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.39J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.27C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.22M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.20M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.17D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.12J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.08L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.08J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.08L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04N. DeSimone · Goal · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 3.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsUTA
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G3.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR35%65%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsUTA
22
Shots on goal
34
68%
Faceoffs
32%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+220.09130—27:23
44V. GavrikovD112+210.04110—23:20
10A. PanarinL101-110.17100—22:37
16V. TrocheckC011-120.545005822:06
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.63202—18:47
93M. ZibanejadC011+130.190007318:29
24C. SoucyD000000.00200—17:20
4B. SchneiderD000-110.07220—16:34
50W. CuylleL000020.24410—16:02
43C. ShearyL000-130.34200—15:37
42N. LabaC000-120.161008315:30
60S. MorrowD000-210.01000—15:22
22J. BrodzinskiC000010.0411010015:20
14T. RaddyshR000-100.00110—14:22
29M. RobertsonD000-300.06202—14:20
84A. EdstromC000+110.13000008:55
39S. CarrickC000000.002007108:22
71J. ParssinenC000+100.0030010007:59
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)34313.9123.59+0.5959:05

Season series

UTA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).