Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 13:22 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 27, SJS 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux, 3. Mario Ferraro (1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Stützle1 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Giroux

- ★★★M. Ferraro1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-07:50
1-116:06
2nd period
1-27:47
2-218:38
3rd period
3-213:22
Penalties
1st
- 7:28
Philipp Kurashev · Roughingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
- 8:18
Jordan Spence · Trippingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk2 min
- 15:06
Hayden Hodgson · Chargingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
- 18:41
Tim Stützle · Slashingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
2nd
- 5:41
Timothy Liljegren · Interferencedrawn by Hayden Hodgson2 min
- 10:45
Hayden Hodgson · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
- 10:45
Ryan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Hayden Hodgson5 min
- 19:47
John Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
3rd
- 1:25
Michael Amadio · Interferencedrawn by Collin Graf2 min
- 3:18
served by Will Smith · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 7:39
Lars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
- 14:02
Zack Ostapchuk · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tim Stützle, 3rd 13:22 — 48% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.0
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/5
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 19
- Hits
- 23
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 9
- Giveaways
- 19
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 2-0
3@
2this game
4@
7Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
