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Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 13:22 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 48% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were OTT 27, SJS 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux, 3. Mario Ferraro (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Ferraro1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1511517327
SJSSJS161706219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:50
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:06

2nd period

  1. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:47
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:38

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.28win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:22

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·SJS 15 PIM

1st

  • 7:28SJSPhilipp Kurashev · Roughingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 8:18OTTJordan Spence · Trippingdrawn by Zack Ostapchuk2 min
  • 15:06OTTHayden Hodgson · Chargingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 18:41OTTTim Stützle · Slashingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

2nd

  • 5:41SJSTimothy Liljegren · Interferencedrawn by Hayden Hodgson2 min
  • 10:45OTTHayden Hodgson · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 10:45SJSRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Hayden Hodgson5 min
  • 19:47SJSJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 1:25OTTMichael Amadio · Interferencedrawn by Collin Graf2 min
  • 3:18SJSserved by Will Smith · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:39OTTLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
  • 14:02SJSZack Ostapchuk · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalOTT goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 3rd 13:22 — OTT 48% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.22M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.22Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.17W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.16T. Dellandrea · Missed · xG 0.12A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.11W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.01
SJS2 G · 2.0 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsSJS
3.13 G
All situations
2 G2.0
2.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT71%29%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsSJS
27
Shots on goal
19
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/5
Power play
1/5
15
Penalty minutes
15
19
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD011+120.14110—25:46
18T. StützleC112041.036124022:16
2A. ZubD000-100.05020—22:05
72T. ChabotD000-130.16210—21:45
12S. PintoC000010.211003320:28
28C. GirouxR000010.030008118:47
19D. BathersonR011+110.02100—18:02
89L. EllerC000-120.020127517:28
24D. CozensC101+140.512004017:21
22M. AmadioR000020.27002—16:33
20F. ZetterlundL101+120.27000—15:55
43T. KlevenD011+100.00020—15:39
10J. SpenceD000+100.12002—14:56
3N. JensenD000+100.00100—13:52
57D. PerronL000-130.14100—12:57
21N. CousinsC011+110.11210008:55
83S. HallidayC000010.0100010005:17
42H. HodgsonR000+100.00207—03:13
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)19172.8951.95-0.0559:45

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).