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Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV KHN/Prime, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Brandon Montour scoring at 4:10. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 4:10 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were SEA 21, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Sergei Murashov stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matty Beniers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    B. Montour1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA031121511321
PITPIT091131802232

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:24
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.24win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:16

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:56
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:36

Overtime

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:10

Penalties

SEA 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:49PITTommy Novak · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 7:38SEABerkly Catton · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 11:41SEABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 17:22SEAJamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min

2nd

  • 3:45PITConnor Dewar · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 3:45SEAMason Marchment · Embellishment2 min
  • 16:49PITAnthony Mantha · Holdingdrawn by Eeli Tolvanen2 min

3rd

  • 4:09SEAVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Joona Koppanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSEA goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, OT 4:10 — SEA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.30S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.24K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.20D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.19S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.17A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.13B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.11E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.09J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.08T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.07B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.05J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.05J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.03R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.03R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsPIT
1.93 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA21%79%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsPIT
21
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD000+110.01002—23:33
6A. LarssonD000010.05330—22:17
62B. MontourD101+120.07112—21:27
55R. LindgrenD000000.01010—21:06
9C. StephensonC000000.090104820:25
10M. BeniersC101+210.060204020:00
7J. EberleR000+220.2311010019:02
41R. EvansD022+110.04100—18:56
27M. MarchmentL112+230.25402—18:38
89F. GaudreauC011010.050002018:22
17J. SchwartzL000020.12110—18:16
20E. TolvanenR000030.31520—16:13
24J. OleksiakD000020.05302—13:46
51S. WrightC000-110.5020010012:40
12T. KartyeL000000.00100—12:00
77B. CattonC000000.00012011:41
26R. WintertonC000000.00000009:11
78O. Fisker MolgaardC000010.090007505:10
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)32302.9383.78+1.7864:10

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).