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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
FinalTV SN, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Dobson's goal at 13:33 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were TOR 26, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.2 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Dobson (2 G), 2. Josh Anderson (2 G), 3. Florian Xhekaj (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Dobson2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    F. Xhekaj1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0111619226
MTLMTL2921713529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson(3)
    N. Suzuki (18), C. Caufield (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:11
  2. MTL
    N. Dobson(2)
    M. Matheson (9), I. Demidov (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:33

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Dobson(3)
    I. Demidov (13), J. Slafkovský (4)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:09
  2. MTL
    J. Anderson(4)
    F. Xhekaj (1)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    13:11
  3. TOR
    O. Ekman-Larsson(3)
    E. Cowan (5), W. Nylander (19)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:19

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(10)PPG
    M. Rielly (14), M. Maccelli (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:55
  2. MTL
    J. Anderson(5)EN
    M. Matheson (10), J. Evans (4)
    snapxG 0.57Video
    2-5
    17:50

Penalties

TOR 35 PIM·MTL 35 PIM

1st

  • 9:39MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 9:39MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 9:39TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 14:30TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 6:46TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 9:52TORJake McCabe · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 18:13MTLserved by Florian Xhekaj · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:22MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Dakota Mermis2 min
  • 11:22TORDakota Mermis · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 14:26MTLFlorian Xhekaj · Slashingdrawn by Dennis Hildeby2 min
  • 14:26TORDakota Mermis · Fightingdrawn by Florian Xhekaj5 min
  • 14:26MTLFlorian Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Dakota Mermis5 min
  • 20:00MTLJayden Struble · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00TORDakota Joshua · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00TORSteven Lorentz · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Dobson, 1st 13:33 — MTL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.57N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.20Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.19L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.16J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.15J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.15I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.12O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.10O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.01F. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01F. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
1.52 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.01 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR20%80%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
26
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/3
35
Penalty minutes
35
20
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
17
17
Giveaways
17
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91J. TavaresC000-110.151026522:40
44M. RiellyD011-240.18010—22:25
28T. StecherD000-110.03210—22:20
95O. Ekman-LarssonD101-230.16422—21:21
2S. BenoitD000020.02110—21:04
88W. NylanderR112-120.181025019:53
53E. CowanR011010.11010—19:34
24S. LaughtonC000-210.032006216:29
11M. DomiC000-110.030104215:08
36D. MermisD000-110.02117—14:29
81D. JoshuaC000-210.112110014:11
74B. McMannC000-220.06210013:26
18S. LorentzC000-140.2710103313:03
63M. MaccelliL011000.04010—12:41
22J. McCabeD000-120.03122—12:37
19C. JarnkrokC000-100.0010010012:34
89N. RobertsonL000-200.05000—10:38
79S. BlaisL000-100.0011010009:39
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)25214.8402.83-1.1733:11
35D. Hildeby3301.0000.43+0.4324:37

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).