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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸7
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV TNT, HBO MAX·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 18:19 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYR 21, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 8 of 13 (.615), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (2 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (4 A), 3. Scott Sabourin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin4 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Sabourin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR481528721
TBLTBL310012014336

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    W. Cuylle(5)PPG
    A. Fox (11), A. Panarin (8)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:09
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(4)
    M. Zibanejad (5)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:31
  3. TBL
    S. Sabourin(1)
    C. Douglas (1), J. Finley (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:04
  4. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(4)
    A. Panarin (9), C. Soucy (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:08
  5. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(3)
    Y. Gourde (2), O. Bjorkstrand (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:59
  6. NYR
    W. Borgen(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:20
  7. TBL
    J. Guentzel(7)SHG
    J. Moser (3)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:32

2nd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(1)
    A. Panarin (10), V. Gavrikov (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:19

3rd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(2)
    U. Vaakanainen (3), A. Panarin (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    6-3
    5:03
  2. NYR
    W. Cuylle(6)EN
    A. Fox (12)
    wristxG 0.59Video
    7-3
    17:49

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:45TBLYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 16:45TBLYanni Gourde · Slashingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 6:20NYRIgor Shesterkin · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

3rd

  • 6:03NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 6:03TBLScott Sabourin · Slashingdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 6:03NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Roughingdrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 8:06TBLserved by J. Finley · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:22NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 2nd 18:19 — NYR 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.23J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.22Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.22C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.21J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.20E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.11D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.09D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.05J. Finley · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03S. Sabourin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.03C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.03G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.00O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 4.6 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
3.26 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.95 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR20%80%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 4.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
36
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24C. SoucyD011+210.16400—22:24
23A. FoxD022+100.00032—22:10
8J. MillerC101020.474004721:22
44V. GavrikovD011+100.00004—20:51
93M. ZibanejadC011020.010006420:13
17W. BorgenD101+110.01000—19:47
4B. SchneiderD000+210.06330—18:37
50W. CuylleL202020.8241010018:00
16V. TrocheckC202+420.373106816:43
10A. PanarinL044+210.36000—16:17
42N. LabaC000010.140102015:08
13A. LafrenièreL101+330.2510010013:51
18U. VaakanainenD011+100.00000—13:49
43C. ShearyL000010.12100—13:14
94G. PerreaultR000+110.07020—12:43
14T. RaddyshR000-110.08100—10:32
84A. EdstromC000-120.28010009:46
39S. CarrickC000-100.000302908:33
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)36333.9174.60+1.6060:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).