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Avalanche at Canucks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
4
Final/OTTV ALT, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-4 in overtime, Gavin Brindley scoring at 1:08. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gavin Brindley's goal at 1:08 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.3 to 3.4; shots on goal were COL 32, VAN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Kevin Lankinen stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 3 A), 2. Quinn Hughes (1 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL290721412532
VANVAN1161102700433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(13)
    V. Nichushkin (5), C. Makar (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:41
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(14)PPG
    V. Olofsson (9), V. Nichushkin (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:10
  3. VAN
    L. Karlsson(1)
    F. Hronek (9), E. Kane (6)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:47

2nd period

  1. VAN
    K. Sherwood(10)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:44

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(5)
    B. Burns (7), N. MacKinnon (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:28
  2. VAN
    D. O'Connor(4)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:26
  3. COL
    A. Lehkonen(6)PPG
    M. Necas (10), N. MacKinnon (14)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:47
  4. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(5)PPG
    B. Boeser (4), Q. Hughes (9)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +33 ptsVideo
    4-4
    16:59

Overtime

  1. COL
    G. Brindley(3)
    C. Makar (16), N. MacKinnon (15)
    pokexG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    1:08

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:14VANTyler Myers · Slashingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 9:32COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 16:47COLCale Makar · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 10:08COLValeri Nichushkin · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 16:03COLVictor Olofsson · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 6:45VANEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 9:10VANTom Willander · Holdingdrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min
  • 16:43COLGabriel Landeskog · Cross checkingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Gavin Brindley, OT 1:08 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.34L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.29L. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.26L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.20B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.18J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.16A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.15K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.14L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.08A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.08A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 4.3 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
3.45 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.82 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL37%63%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022-230.12012—27:34
7D. ToewsD000-110.03130—24:41
84B. BurnsD011+100.01020—20:24
29N. MacKinnonC235040.470005320:03
88M. NecasC011-240.26110019:49
42J. MansonD000010.06412—19:18
18J. DruryC000010.061102218:22
62A. LehkonenL202-140.61220—17:40
13V. NichushkinR022-100.14002—16:28
70S. MalinskiD000+110.01000—15:10
95V. OlofssonL011-120.19212—14:48
11B. NelsonC000+120.540004814:31
17P. KellyC000010.01300013:37
20R. ColtonC000+140.24200012:57
15J. AhcanD000000.00110—11:16
54G. BrindleyC101+220.24000011:01
92G. LandeskogL000020.37102—10:59
93Z. BardakovC000000.000005006:30
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)33294.8794.33+0.3361:08

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).