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Kraken at Stars
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
1
Dallas Stars
▸2
FinalTV KHN/Prime, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Seattle Kraken 2-1. The Kraken scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Seguin's goal at 19:26 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — SEA 2.8, DAL 3.0; shots on goal were SEA 31, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (30 saves, .968), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Miro Heiskanen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    C. DeSmith30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA1701509131
DALDAL2100807225

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    J. Schwartz(5)
    A. Larsson (3), V. Dunn (7)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:15
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(10)PPG
    J. Robertson (11), M. Heiskanen (10)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:24
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(5)
    R. Hintz (8), M. Heiskanen (11)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:26

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:32SEAKaapo Kakko · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 5:07DALLian Bichsel · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 6:43DALThomas Harley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:58SEAJaden Schwartz · Interferencedrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

3rd

  • 1:19SEAMatty Beniers · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 1:19DALMikko Rantanen · Holding the stickdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 4:24DALMiro Heiskanen · Slashingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 12:07SEAJordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by Justin Hryckowian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSEA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Seguin, 1st 19:26 — DAL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.22M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.21W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.19S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.18J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.12E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.12W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.10C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.04L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsDAL
2.81 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA47%53%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsDAL
31
Shots on goal
25
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD011+150.33020—23:58
9C. StephensonC000010.131004123:18
62B. MontourD000-130.20110—23:05
7J. EberleR000050.60002—23:02
6A. LarssonD011+100.00230—21:07
10M. BeniersC000+110.120022919:01
27M. MarchmentL000040.40400—17:56
41R. EvansD000030.21010—17:52
20E. TolvanenR000030.38500—16:42
55R. LindgrenD000-110.01040—16:38
17J. SchwartzL101030.1610210015:56
24J. OleksiakD000000.07200—13:05
51S. WrightC000-100.052103311:48
12T. KartyeL000000.00410—11:10
59B. MeyersC000010.01000010:41
26R. WintertonC000-110.01310010:35
84K. KakkoR000+100.00012—10:19
77B. CattonC000000.13000008:48
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)25232.9202.97+0.9758:07

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).