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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 11:16 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 54% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.1; shots on goal were WSH 30, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 26 of 30 (.867); Arturs Silovs stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (2 G), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0731508330
PITPIT2161728531

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(10)PPG
    B. Kindel (1), B. Rust (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:22
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(11)PPG
    B. Rust (9), E. Karlsson (11)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:32

2nd period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(7)
    T. Novak (5), B. Lizotte (1)
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:08
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(4)
    A. Ovechkin (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:41
  3. WSH
    R. Sandin(1)
    D. Strome (9), A. Ovechkin (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:55
  4. WSH
    T. Wilson(9)
    D. Strome (10), J. Carlson (7)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:55

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(5)PPG
    E. Malkin (17), B. Kindel (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:16
  2. PIT
    C. Dewar(4)EN
    K. Letang (6)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:56

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:05WSHConnor McMichael · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 10:33WSHSonny Milano · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 13:54PITBlake Lizotte · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 16:07WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min

2nd

  • 2:23WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

3rd

  • 4:43PITConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 8:39PITBen Kindel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:24WSHDylan Strome · Cross checkingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 3rd 11:16 — PIT 54% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.53A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.40S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.26E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.25B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.23B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.18B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.14V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.14T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.13B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.13T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.01R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00J. Koppanen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
3.13 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH40%60%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000050.17220—27:52
74J. CarlsonD011010.02120—23:47
17D. StromeC123+250.471027423:30
43T. WilsonR101030.72200—21:47
3M. RoyD000+110.07020—21:28
8A. OvechkinL022+220.66600—21:20
38R. SandinD101+130.14240—18:25
72A. BeauvillierR000040.43100—18:05
42M. FehérváryD000000.00200—16:37
21A. ProtasL000010.080205015:50
24C. McMichaelL000010.110023314:13
9R. LeonardR000020.05410—13:24
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.01114—12:29
26N. DowdC000-100.000006210:51
15S. MilanoL000010.120125009:21
29H. LapierreC000000.002002009:18
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00300—08:17
34J. SourdifC000-100.00000007:17
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)30264.8673.56-0.4458:01

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).