Calgary Flames at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 7:06 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 77% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 1.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were CGY 21, PHI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 17 of 18 (.944); Aleksei Kolosov stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (2 G), 2. Dustin Wolf (17 saves, .944), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Huberdeau2 G

- ★★D. Wolf17 saves, .944

- ★★★T. Konecny1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
1-02:15
3rd period
2-07:06
2-114:20
Penalties
1st
- 18:20
Bobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
- 19:57
Rasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
2nd
- 13:20
Owen Tippett · Slashingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 3rd 7:06 — 77% → 93%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.82 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.4
- 0.72 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.31 – 1.37
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 18
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 25
- Hits
- 21
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 20
- Giveaways
- 17
- 7
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 2-0
2@
1this game
1@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
