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Hurricanes at Bruins
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Boston Bruins
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Mittelstadt's goal at 1:27 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 29, BOS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .966), 2. Charlie McAvoy (2 A), 3. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. Mittelstadt1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0909111129
BOSBOS0110625222

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. BOS
    C. Mittelstadt(4)
    C. McAvoy (9), P. Zacha (10)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +24 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:27
  2. BOS
    V. Arvidsson(3)
    C. Mittelstadt (4), C. McAvoy (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:05
  3. CAR
    A. Nikishin(2)
    M. Jankowski (1), J. Martinook (5)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:11

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·BOS 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:31BOSNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

2nd

  • 1:43CARSeth Jarvis · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Casey Mittelstadt, 3rd 1:27 — BOS 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.38T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.33T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.26F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.26M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.24C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.21D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.18M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.14C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.05M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 3.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR27%73%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
29
Shots on goal
22
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
26
11
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21A. NikishinD101-140.16600—24:41
26S. WalkerD000-230.03120—22:04
5J. ChatfieldD000+110.00010—21:48
20S. AhoC000-100.113006719:39
6M. ReillyD000020.04030—17:48
27N. EhlersL000-140.20000—17:31
64J. NystromD000000.01010—17:31
24S. JarvisR000-150.4911210017:20
48J. MartinookL011+110.061105016:15
53J. BlakeR000020.24110—15:59
11J. StaalC000000.001103315:32
71T. HallL000-110.07100—15:32
22L. StankovenC000000.091006715:13
37A. SvechnikovR000030.33000—15:13
62C. LegaultD000010.01000—14:19
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.00400011:41
29B. NadeauL000010.08000—11:05
77M. JankowskiL011+110.051004310:12
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)22202.9093.39+1.3958:37

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).