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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Capitals scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 4:29 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 23, WSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (22 saves, .957), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0611027323
WSHWSH0131604123

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(6)
    J. Chychrun (4), M. Roy (1)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:48
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(3)SHG
    S. Holmstrom (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(7)
    E. Heineman (2), R. Pulock (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:29
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(3)EN
    A. Pelech (2)
    snapxG 0.50win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:44

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:34NYICasey Cizikas · Holdingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

2nd

  • 6:55WSHHendrix Lapierre · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 12:10WSHBrandon Duhaime · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 14:13NYICalum Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:58WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:50NYICalum Ritchie · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

3rd

  • 1:23WSHJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:16NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 12:02WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 3rd 4:29 — NYI 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.32A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.23B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.23A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.18J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.17N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.11T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.06A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
3.42 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI56%44%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
23
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
13
22
Giveaways
24
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14B. HorvatC101+130.500007820:34
6R. PulockD011+310.02030—20:06
21K. PalmieriC000020.20200020:02
28A. RomanovD000000.00140—19:43
3A. PelechD011+300.15000—19:29
24S. MayfieldD000-110.01110—18:56
13M. BarzalC101+120.650001718:04
48M. SchaeferD000-120.09120—17:58
10S. HolmstromR011+100.12000—17:45
29J. DrouinL000020.37000—16:23
64C. RitchieC000000.080145016:17
77T. DeAngeloD000030.07010—15:42
27A. LeeL000030.5000210015:21
44J. PageauC101+110.090108313:35
51E. HeinemanL011+130.49400—12:44
32K. MacLeanC000000.07100010:09
53C. CizikasC000000.002222909:59
11A. DuclairL000000.00010—09:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)23221.9572.57+1.5760:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).