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Penguins at Wild
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV FDSNNO, SN-PIT·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Minnesota Wild 4-1. The Wild scored first; the Penguins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 6:29 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 34, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (2 A), 2. Ryan Shea (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tristan Jarry (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Shea1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT06112316434
MINMIN1130608127

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(7)
    M. Johansson (4), M. Rossi (9)
    tip-inxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:16

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Shea(2)
    T. Novak (4), K. Letang (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:18

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(4)
    R. Shea (5), K. Letang (5)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:29
  2. PIT
    B. Kindel(3)PPG
    B. Rust (6), E. Malkin (14)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:30
  3. PIT
    A. Mantha(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:18

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:06PITserved by T. Novak · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:45PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 12:45PITserved by A. Mantha · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:17MINTyler Pitlick · Elbowingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 12:47PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPIT goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 3rd 6:29 — PIT 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.26K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.25M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.18Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsMIN
3.43 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT58%42%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsMIN
34
Shots on goal
27
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28P. WotherspoonD000010.04730—24:17
58K. LetangD022+230.05420—22:31
65E. KarlssonD000020.19000—21:57
5R. SheaD112+220.11020—21:54
55N. AcciariC000+120.031005016:20
17B. RustR112+120.19002—16:15
24M. DumbaD000020.05210—15:45
39A. ManthaR101020.60020—15:32
46B. LizotteC000-110.261007115:15
71E. MalkinC011+100.120107814:47
11F. HallanderC000+110.19000014:40
19C. DewarC000060.35200014:40
16J. BrazeauR000-110.10210—14:01
87S. CrosbyC000+120.122025913:35
38O. PickeringD000000.01120—13:23
18T. NovakC011+150.42100012:42
41V. KoivunenR000+110.06010—12:15
81B. KindelC101+110.550007512:11
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)27261.9632.39+1.3960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).