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Montréal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken

Final/OTTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 0:44. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 0:44 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 1.9, SEA 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 21, SEA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Montour (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. Montour2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL27051712421
SEASEA050531100321

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:25
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:28

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:55
  2. SEA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:57
  3. SEA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:17
  4. SEA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:17

Overtime

  1. MTL
    pokexG 0.20win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:44

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:45MTLCole Caufield · Slashingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
  • 16:17SEARyan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 18:58MTLJoseph Veleno · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

2nd

  • 13:59MTLZachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

3rd

  • 4:09SEAJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 7:57MTLJayden Struble · Hookingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
  • 13:20SEAJani Nyman · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 13:20MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalMTL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 0:44 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.18S. Wright · Goal · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.13M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.11M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.05J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.04R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsSEA
1.94 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL53%47%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsSEA
21
Shots on goal
21
61%
Faceoffs
39%
2/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-100.03030—27:05
48L. HutsonD011+100.00110—22:20
53N. DobsonD022030.09110—22:07
45A. CarrierD000-100.00140—19:34
14N. SuzukiC033+230.390005618:46
71J. EvansC000-210.053107017:27
13C. CaufieldR213+250.51012—17:21
20J. SlafkovskýL101+130.32000—16:59
47J. StrubleD000010.06302—15:28
17J. AndersonR000-120.13000—15:16
90J. VelenoC000000.003027814:22
77K. DachC011010.243125014:02
15A. NewhookC101010.071005013:38
76Z. BolducR000000.00012—13:28
93I. DemidovR000-110.00010—12:00
11B. GallagherR000000.00100—11:30
72A. XhekajD000000.00110—11:29
91O. KapanenC000-100.0400010010:20
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)21183.8571.78-1.2260:44

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).