Montréal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 0:44. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 0:44 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — MTL 1.9, SEA 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 21, SEA 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Montour (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (3 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield2 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Montour2 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. Suzuki3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-010:25
2-017:28
3rd period
3-05:55
3-18:57
3-215:17
3-318:17
Overtime
4-30:44
Penalties
1st
- 10:45
Cole Caufield · Slashingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
- 16:17
Ryan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
- 18:58
Joseph Veleno · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
2nd
- 13:59
Zachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
3rd
- 4:09
Jaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
- 7:57
Jayden Struble · Hookingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min
- 13:20
Jani Nyman · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
- 13:20
Kirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Jani Nyman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cole Caufield, OT 0:44 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.94 G
- All situations
- 3 G1.8
- 1.72 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.2
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.76
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 2/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 22
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 15
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
4@
5OTFinal
4@
3OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
