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New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, MSGSN2·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New Jersey Devils 8-4. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 14:12 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were NJD 30, COL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 42 (.810), 4.5 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Olofsson (3 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cale Makar (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Olofsson3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01641103430
COLCOL212417213842

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:24
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:49

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:31
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    7:11
  3. COL
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    8:39
  4. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:08
  5. NJD
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:48
  6. NJD
    wristxG 0.23win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:42
  7. NJD
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-5
    14:12
  8. COL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-6
    15:24

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-7
    3:10
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.09Video
    4-8
    17:38

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:18NJDJacob Markstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:33NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 14:11COLMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 6:02NJDStefan Noesen · Cross checkingdrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min
  • 6:13NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:54NJDTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min
  • 19:01COLJosh Manson · Slashingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min

3rd

  • 2:33NJDLuke Glendening · Slashingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNJD goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 2nd 14:12 — NJD 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.27V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.17C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.10G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bardakov · Goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.07S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ahcan · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
COL8 G · 3.5 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCOL
3.04 G
All situations
8 G3.5
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.90 G
Power play
4 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD41%59%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
42
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
4/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
21
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011+310.13130—20:55
5B. DillonD000-210.04200—19:54
7D. HamiltonD101+320.27002—19:37
13N. HischierC011+150.684004119:15
71J. SiegenthalerD000-100.00122—19:12
17S. NemecD000020.03100—19:09
24S. CaseyD000-320.09000—17:54
86J. HughesC112020.210004217:41
16C. BrownR000010.011103316:26
81A. GritsyukR000020.30000—15:35
91D. MercerC101+110.262105015:24
63J. BrattL011010.02010—15:00
28T. MeierR011030.3511210014:41
47P. CotterL011-100.0060010013:40
14L. GlendeningC000-100.002123813:37
11S. NoesenR101-140.3510210012:29
18O. PalatL000+120.10100—11:13
83J. LammikkoC000010.143007811:08
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)42348.8103.46-4.5459:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).