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Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV FDSNOH, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Miles Wood scoring at 2:53. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miles Wood's goal at 2:53 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were CBJ 39, BUF 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Alex Lyon stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Miles Wood (2 G), 2. Josh Dunne (1 G), 3. Jet Greaves (35 saves, .921).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Wood2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Dunne1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves35 saves, .921

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CBJCBJ11411011312439
BUFBUF0921211601338

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    E. Chinakhov(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:09

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(3)
    A. Tuch (5), C. Timmins (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:39
  2. BUF
    R. McLeod(3)
    B. Byram (4), A. Tuch (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:12
  3. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(2)PPG
    K. Marchenko (4), S. Monahan (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:44

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Dunne(1)
    B. Malenstyn (1), M. Samuelsson (4)
    pokexG 0.19win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:40
  2. CBJ
    M. Wood(2)
    E. Chinakhov (2), D. Fabbro (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:55

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    M. Wood(3)
    Z. Werenski (4), I. Lundestrom (2)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:53

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:27CBJDamon Severson · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

2nd

  • 19:20BUFAlex Tuch · Interferencedrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min
  • 20:00CBJKirill Marchenko · Roughingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 20:00BUFBowen Byram · Roughingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 20:00CBJDmitri Voronkov · Roughingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Miles Wood, OT 2:53 — CBJ 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.22J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.20J. Dunne · Goal · xG 0.19J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.16T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.14P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.14J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.13J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.13J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.07A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dunne · On goal · xG 0.06J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.06J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dunne · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.04B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.02B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
3.64 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ62%38%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
39
Shots on goal
38
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD112+150.14030—27:59
9I. ProvorovD000010.07310—26:13
5D. MateychukD000-100.00030—22:55
78D. SeversonD000-210.05222—20:07
19A. FantilliC000-110.084108317:31
38B. JennerC000040.290105716:56
23S. MonahanC011-120.281005916:05
86K. MarchenkoR011-160.61012—15:52
91K. JohnsonC000-120.30000015:38
4C. SillingerC000-210.01200015:33
24M. OlivierR000-120.17300—15:24
15D. FabbroD011+120.06010—14:54
3C. CoyleC000-120.040004714:44
10D. VoronkovL000-130.44302—13:59
21I. LundestromC011+310.150106713:48
11M. WoodL202+330.464005013:24
59E. ChinakhovR112+220.36100—12:49
2J. ChristiansenD000010.08000—10:48
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(W)38353.9212.85-0.1562:53

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).