Skip to content

Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tye Kartye's goal at 6:35 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.6, SEA 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 33, SEA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (2 G), 2. Joey Daccord (31 saves, .939), 3. Tye Kartye (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Eberle2 G
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Daccord31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    T. Kartye1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01219112233
SEASEA1111715323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:23

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:35
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:39

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:11
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:35

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:02EDMAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Shane Wright2 min
  • 2:15SEAMatty Beniers · Slashingdrawn by Noah Philp2 min
  • 10:47EDMIsaac Howard · Hookingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 16:12EDMEvan Bouchard · Hookingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min

2nd

  • 14:20SEAAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Tye Kartye, 2nd 6:35 — SEA 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.39J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.31S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.12T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.12R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.10M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kartye · Goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.06M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
2.62 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM62%38%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
33
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
21
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000-100.000001724:43
96J. WalmanD000010.03120—22:51
29L. DraisaitlC022+150.570007321:59
2E. BouchardD101-330.12012—21:57
25D. NurseD101+130.13110—21:10
14M. EkholmD011-210.00130—19:27
27B. KulakD000000.02010—17:54
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-120.100005016:45
28J. RoslovicC000+130.3811010016:33
88A. MangiapaneL000-200.00220—16:11
49T. EmbersonD000010.02110—15:45
19A. HenriqueC000-130.360026714:43
92V. PodkolzinR000020.09210—12:40
86D. TomasekR000040.41000—12:37
22M. SavoieC000-220.17000011:54
53I. HowardL000-110.06002—10:46
10T. FredericC000010.0440010009:20
48N. PhilpC000010.142001708:24
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)23203.8701.97-1.0358:21

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).