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Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 7-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Pinto's goal at 3:27 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 34, WSH 13. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 12 of 13 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 27 of 34 (.794), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Cousins (1 G), 2. Drake Batherson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tim Stützle (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    N. Cousins1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT18311315734
WSHWSH030317113

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub (4), D. Perron (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:58

2nd period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:27
  2. OTT
    D. Cozens(6)PPG
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:27
  3. OTT
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    6:22

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    0:55
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.15Video
    5-1
    5:04
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.04Video
    6-1
    9:47
  4. OTT
    snapxG 0.17Video
    7-1
    14:22

Penalties

OTT 12 PIM·WSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:05OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 7:42WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 16:29OTTKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 16:29WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid2 min

2nd

  • 3:27WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:20WSHBrandon Duhaime · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 11:20OTTNick Cousins · Embellishment2 min
  • 12:29OTTShane Pinto · Hookingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 19:27OTTLinus Ullmark · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 19:27WSHCharlie Lindgren · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 19:27WSHMartin Fehérváry · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:27WSHMartin Fehérváry · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:27OTTRidly Greig · Roughingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

3rd

  • 9:17WSHJustin Sourdif · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Shane Pinto, 2nd 3:27 — OTT 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.21P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.19J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.17T. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
4.17 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.03 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT85%15%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.00 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
13
61%
Faceoffs
39%
3/4
Power play
0/2
12
Penalty minutes
16
12
Hits
28
23
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101+110.10020—22:24
85J. SandersonD011+200.00020—21:49
3N. JensenD000-120.04030—21:06
24D. CozensC213070.611205719:44
71R. GreigC000+110.020126318:23
2A. ZubD022+410.00020—18:12
12S. PintoC101+140.701126017:58
89L. EllerC000000.080205916:01
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00102—16:01
43T. KlevenD000000.00210—15:44
28C. GirouxR022+100.220107115:42
57D. PerronL022+120.32200—15:41
20F. ZetterlundL000+160.55000—14:28
18T. StützleC022+220.461106014:22
21N. CousinsC101+110.26222014:22
22M. AmadioR000+120.09020—13:56
19D. BathersonR213+140.65100—11:47
23K. MacDermidL000-110.00112—05:05
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)13121.9231.75+0.7559:15

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).