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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
New York Islanders
▸7
FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Emil Heineman's goal at 14:56 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were DET 34, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 3.9 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (3 A), 2. Emil Heineman (2 G), 3. David Rittich (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee3 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    E. Heineman2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    D. Rittich32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET05014215234
NYINYI21131128730

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    T. DeAngelo(1)
    A. Lee (3), S. Holmstrom (3)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:05
  2. NYI
    E. Heineman(4)
    B. Horvat (3), J. Drouin (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:56

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(2)
    A. Lee (4), T. DeAngelo (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:25
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(3)
    R. Pulock (3), M. Barzal (5)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    13:09
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(2)
    C. Cizikas (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    19:34

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(6)PPG
    E. Finnie (4), A. DeBrincat (7)
    wristxG 0.60Video
    1-5
    3:11
  2. NYI
    E. Heineman(5)
    B. Horvat (4), R. Pulock (4)
    snapxG 0.08Video
    1-6
    7:19
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(1)
    A. Lee (5), S. Mayfield (3)
    snapxG 0.35Video
    1-7
    7:57
  4. DET
    J. Berggren(1)
    J. Compher (2), M. Brandsegg-Nygård (1)
    wristxG 0.15Video
    2-7
    17:20

Penalties

DET 18 PIM·NYI 32 PIM

1st

  • 8:16DETSimon Edvinsson · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 18:36NYIKyle Palmieri · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

2nd

  • 7:47DETSimon Edvinsson · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 13:09DETserved by Jonatan Berggren · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:14NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min

3rd

  • 1:25NYIMathew Barzal · Interferencedrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 3:55NYICasey Cizikas · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 8:30NYIKyle MacLean · High stickingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 20:00NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 20:00DETMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 20:00NYIKyle MacLean · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00DETMason Appleton · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00NYIScott Mayfield · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Emil Heineman, 1st 14:56 — NYI 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.35T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.20K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.16E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.16E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.08M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.08S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01
NYI7 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
3.92 G
All situations
7 G3.1
2.11 G
Even strength
7 G2.1
1.81 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET62%38%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
34
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
32
28
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
22
9
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-230.07410—24:34
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-310.18200—21:10
71D. LarkinC101-150.961103719:41
58E. FinnieC011-120.18110019:14
20A. JohanssonD000-230.09200—18:29
93A. DeBrincatR011-150.91000—17:53
37J. CompherL011000.000005817:26
23L. RaymondL000-220.22000—17:10
92M. KasperC000-240.276003616:41
8B. ChiarotD000-210.06420—16:35
25J. Bernard-DockerD000-120.03010—15:34
18A. CoppC000-310.03020014:09
77S. EdvinssonD000-200.01024—14:07
48J. BerggrenR101-130.57100—13:44
22M. AppletonC000-310.051012013:28
27M. RasmussenC000-300.090106412:25
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR011010.19500—12:08
85E. SoderblomL000-100.00100—09:56
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)30237.7673.11-3.8959:36

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).