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Boston Bruins at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV NHLN, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Boston Bruins 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 10:37 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 26, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Vitek Vanecek stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (1 G), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Schmaltz (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS11011303226
UTAUTA1111818327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(2)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:20
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:38

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:46
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.36win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:57

3rd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.17win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:37

Penalties

BOS 17 PIM·UTA 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:18BOSMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 3:18UTALiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 3:30BOSElias Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
  • 7:15UTAMikhail Sergachev · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:26UTADylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 15:20BOSNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 0:25UTAJJ Peterka · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 6:32BOSDavid Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 10:36BOSHenri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 14:01UTABrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 14:01BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 6:11BOSTanner Jeannot · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 14:51UTABarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalBOS goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 10:37 — UTA 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.36M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.29J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.27L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.22B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.21L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.19D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.17L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.17J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.17L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.16J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.10D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.08K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.05J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03D. Simashev · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsUTA
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS25%75%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
1/5
17
Penalty minutes
15
24
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
21
18
Giveaways
20
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD011030.14040—26:23
88D. PastrnakR202050.65402—22:10
91N. ZadorovD000000.00434—20:44
39M. GeekieC000000.0430010020:27
28E. LindholmC000-110.070026319:40
18P. ZachaC011000.003005019:29
6M. LohreiD000-110.05030—18:26
20H. JokiharjuD000-110.02012—17:41
43J. HarrisD000010.05110—15:54
26A. PeekeD000010.01220—15:26
52S. KuralyC000000.000204313:46
71V. ArvidssonL000-100.00000—12:46
84T. JeannotL000040.29212—11:56
93F. MintenC000020.190105511:49
19J. BeecherC000020.16100011:34
92M. KhusnutdinovC011030.10000011:09
47M. KastelicC000010.132158610:57
81M. EyssimontC000010.07200010:04
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)27243.8893.46+0.4658:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).