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Jets at Flyers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV NBCSP, TSN3·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Barron's goal at 17:43 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 15, PHI 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Samuel Ersson stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (15 saves, .882), 3. Owen Tippett (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck15 saves, .882
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG152525515
PHIPHI0311212217

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(1)
    N. Niederreiter (2), G. Nyquist (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:45

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(4)
    G. Vilardi (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:01
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(2)
    T. Zegras (3), T. Sanheim (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:22
  3. WPG
    M. Barron(3)
    K. Connor (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:43

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(5)PPG
    K. Connor (4), A. Iafallo (1)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:40
  2. PHI
    M. Michkov(1)
    N. Juulsen (1), S. Couturier (3)
    snapxG 0.10Video
    4-2
    17:39
  3. WPG
    T. Pearson(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.48Video
    5-2
    18:47

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:28WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 12:38WPGJonathan Toews · Holdingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min

3rd

  • 9:16PHITrevor Zegras · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 10:38WPGJonathan Toews · Interferencedrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 20:00WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWPG goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Morgan Barron, 2nd 17:43 — WPG 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.18T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.18C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.15T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.14T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.13T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.11T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.10M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI2 G · 2.0 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsPHI
1.64 G
All situations
2 G2.0
0.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 49 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG32%68%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsPHI
15
Shots on goal
17
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
15
9
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+310.01000—24:21
2D. DeMeloD000+400.00022—23:17
4N. PionkD000-200.00030—22:26
64L. StanleyD000000.06202—19:03
81K. ConnorL022+200.01000—18:47
55M. ScheifeleC202+130.290004718:44
13G. VilardiC011+100.00100016:46
5L. SchennD000020.05500—15:51
19J. ToewsC000000.000048015:45
24H. FleuryD000-100.00120—14:59
62N. NiederreiterR011+120.23100—14:50
7V. NamestnikovC101+120.14100014:20
70T. PearsonL101010.48000—14:05
9A. IafalloL011020.2111010014:03
14G. NyquistR011+100.00000—13:03
45C. KoepkeL000-100.00200—11:27
36M. BarronC101010.092107511:18
25P. FordC000010.081005710:55
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)17152.8821.98-0.0260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).