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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 8-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Nazar's goal at 4:32 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were CHI 29, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Joel Hofer stopped 15 of 22 (.682), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Reichel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ilya Mikheyev (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Bedard (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    L. Reichel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    I. Mikheyev1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI21031138829
STLSTL2708111326

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:02
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:29
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:23
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:54

2nd period

  1. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:49
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:32
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    8:52

3rd period

  1. CHI
    pokexG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-2
    1:17
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.20Video
    7-2
    5:03
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.01Video
    7-3
    11:28
  4. CHI
    wristxG 0.20Video
    8-3
    12:21

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:07STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 4:32STLJake Neighbours · Roughingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
  • 5:27CHISam Rinzel · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

3rd

  • 4:56STLRobert Thomas · High stickingdrawn by Colton Dach2 min
  • 13:53CHILouis Crevier · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Nazar, 2nd 4:32 — CHI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.40J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.20N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.16B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.16M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.15J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · Goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
3.48 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.87 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI59%41%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
10
23
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD022+100.00020—22:07
44W. KaiserD011+210.01000—19:46
98C. BedardC033+110.050005018:57
6S. RinzelD000+210.13112—18:29
95I. MikheyevR112+230.09100—18:23
8R. DonatoC101+240.75000018:01
55A. LevshunovD000+310.17100—16:47
16J. DickinsonC101+320.341106916:39
20R. GreeneC101+110.200104716:29
59T. BertuzziL112040.34000—16:12
91F. NazarC101+110.140105315:20
34C. DachC000-110.1841010015:13
28A. BurakovskyL000-120.52000—14:56
48M. GrzelcykD011+200.00010—14:33
86T. TeravainenC011+110.05110014:04
46L. CrevierD011010.05002—13:45
73L. ReichelL213+250.42000—13:11
5C. MurphyD000-100.00000—13:08
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(W)26233.8852.89-0.1160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).