Skip to content
Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV ESPN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Esa Lindell's goal at 5:37 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were MIN 41, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.1 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN014010217241
DALDAL21111024525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    E. Lindell(1)
    R. Hintz (3), M. Heiskanen (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:37
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(3)PPG
    R. Hintz (4), M. Rantanen (4)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:18

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(1)PPG
    M. Bourque (1), T. Harley (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:31

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(4)PPG
    Z. Buium (3), K. Kaprizov (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:50
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(4)PPG
    Z. Buium (4), V. Tarasenko (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:04
  3. DAL
    R. Faksa(1)EN
    J. Robertson (2), T. Seguin (1)
    backhandxG 0.84win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:18
  4. DAL
    R. Hintz(1)EN
    W. Johnston (1), E. Lindell (2)
    snapxG 0.96Video
    2-5
    19:50

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·DAL 25 PIM

1st

  • 15:47MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 19:37MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 4:51DALNils Lundkvist · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 18:51DALJustin Hryckowian · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

3rd

  • 2:19DALAlexander Petrovic · Instigatordrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 2:19MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic5 min
  • 2:19DALAlexander Petrovic · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 2:19DALAlexander Petrovic · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 2:36DALColin Blackwell · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 2:36MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 12:33DALColin Blackwell · Holdingdrawn by Zeev Buium2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Esa Lindell, 1st 5:37 — DAL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.96R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.84W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.21R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.20J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.15T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.15W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.02J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.00M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
3.02 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.02 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN68%32%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
41
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
2/2
11
Penalty minutes
25
26
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
12M. BoldyL101-2101.08210—25:57
97K. KaprizovL112-260.62000—24:42
7B. FaberD000030.05020—23:27
25J. BrodinD000010.02010—21:23
14J. Eriksson EkC000-330.314044721:03
8Z. BuiumD022-220.05000—20:57
23M. RossiC000-210.070005818:44
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.01220—18:27
91V. TarasenkoR011-310.08100—16:02
38R. HartmanR000050.261025015:15
17M. FolignoL000020.14300—14:41
5J. MiddletonD000-100.00135—14:20
13Y. TreninC000010.1172010014:06
24Z. BogosianD000030.03120—13:08
90M. JohanssonL000-100.00020—10:27
28L. OhgrenL000000.00000—09:59
18V. HinostrozaC000020.16100009:16
22D. YurovR000000.003101708:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)23203.8701.94-1.0657:33

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).