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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FDSNMW, Prime·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 13:45 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 36, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Snuggerud (2 G), 2. Kiefer Sherwood (2 G), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11231816536
VANVAN08211010229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:48

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:10
  2. VAN
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:33
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:13
  4. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:12
  5. STL
    deflectedxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:45

3rd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:47

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 7:45VANElias Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 11:18VANFilip Hronek · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 5:37VANDrew O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 7:59STLDylan Holloway · Holdingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 2nd 13:45 — STL 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.35K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.32E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.19F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.19Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.14K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.07D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04A. Bains · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN2 G · 3.0 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
3.54 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL51%49%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
29
17
Blocked shots
17
16
Giveaways
24
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000+110.07130—24:42
55C. ParaykoD000+250.08130—21:21
17C. FowlerD000030.11000—20:50
81D. HollowayL000020.02412—19:42
6P. BrobergD011+100.00000—19:22
18R. ThomasC000010.000004018:52
25J. KyrouR011000.06120—17:11
22P. SuterC011+110.480104417:05
89P. BuchnevichL011020.26000—16:53
75T. TuckerD000+130.01110—16:51
10B. SchennC112-120.272104716:30
21J. SnuggerudR202060.67010—16:12
63J. NeighboursL101+120.64220—15:09
71M. JosephR011+140.27110—14:59
23L. MaillouxD000000.00200—12:52
26N. WalkerL011+120.24400—10:31
77N. BjugstadC101+120.332006709:53
9A. TexierL011+100.0111010009:05
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)29272.9313.00+1.0060:00

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).