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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN1·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 9:54 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 28, FLA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.3 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Aaron Ekblad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anton Lundell (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1807113228
FLAFLA292929627

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(2)
    S. Jones (1), G. Forsling (2)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:08
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(1)
    A. Ekblad (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:54
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(3)
    R. Greig (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:33

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(1)PPG
    B. Marchand (1), S. Jones (2)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    0:35
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(2)PPG
    J. Petry (2), C. Verhaeghe (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:28

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(1)PPG
    A. Lundell (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    5:29
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(1)
    G. Forsling (3)
    wristxG 0.18Video
    1-6
    11:14
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(4)
    C. Giroux (1)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    2-6
    17:35

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:33FLAMackie Samoskevich · High stickingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 19:01OTTRidly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 5:38OTTMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 17:03OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

3rd

  • 3:42OTTThomas Chabot · High sticking double minordrawn by Eetu Luostarinen4 min
  • 12:41FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 1st 9:54 — FLA 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.14M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.13S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 2.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
1.72 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT31%69%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
28
Shots on goal
27
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/2
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
7
22
Giveaways
17
13
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-130.08000—22:25
2A. ZubD000-220.05340—20:57
72T. ChabotD000010.08024—20:41
3N. JensenD000+120.03410—19:06
18T. StützleC000-120.223108218:50
24D. CozensC000040.095005017:23
20F. ZetterlundL000020.07300—17:16
33N. MatinpaloD000000.01150—16:45
7B. TkachukL000030.2210210016:34
12S. PintoC202+150.620108016:21
37D. SebrangoD000010.04000—16:09
22M. AmadioR000-100.00002—15:09
57D. PerronL000000.00100—15:08
71R. GreigC011000.000024014:37
28C. GirouxR011020.100006013:28
89L. EllerC000-100.063006212:35
21N. CousinsC000-100.00210011:04
23K. MacDermidL000010.00120—06:47
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)27216.7782.66-3.3459:59

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).