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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 17:17 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were NJD 22, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.6 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (2 G), 2. Seth Jarvis (2 G), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    K. Miller2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0621115322
CARCAR19114410633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(1)
    S. Gostisbehere (1), A. Nikishin (1)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:06

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Hamilton(1)
    J. Bratt (1), J. Hughes (1)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:15
  2. CAR
    K. Miller(1)
    W. Carrier (1), J. Martinook (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:23
  3. NJD
    C. Glass(1)
    L. Hughes (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:54

3rd period

  1. CAR
    K. Miller(2)PPG
    S. Aho (1), J. Blake (1)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:21
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(1)
    B. Pesce (1), L. Hughes (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:38
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(1)
    S. Aho (2), S. Gostisbehere (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +42 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:17
  4. CAR
    S. Jarvis(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.66win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:05
  5. CAR
    E. Robinson(1)
    T. Hall (1), J. Kotkaniemi (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07Video
    3-6
    19:47

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:59NJDserved by E. Dadonov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 2:30CARK'Andre Miller · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 5:51NJDPaul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 14:45CARJordan Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 6:09NJDPaul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min
  • 9:03NJDLuke Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 3rd 17:17 — CAR 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.66S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.21T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.11K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.07E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.06A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.00S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.83 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD24%76%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
27
19
Blocked shots
13
28
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC011010.410001721:54
22B. PesceD011000.01030—21:42
43L. HughesD022020.10212—20:46
7D. HamiltonD101020.09300—20:44
28T. MeierR000-150.356005019:37
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.00010—19:00
13N. HischierC000-210.150504518:42
17S. NemecD000-210.01000—18:35
63J. BrattL112010.12300—18:15
91D. MercerC000-220.05100017:35
5B. DillonD000-110.01120—16:50
16C. BrownR000+110.00200—14:10
18O. PalatL000000.00110—12:16
47P. CotterL000-110.28314—11:54
12C. GlassC101020.132105811:53
14L. GlendeningC000-100.000205310:22
81A. GritsyukR000-200.00100—09:52
33E. DadonovL000020.09020—09:32
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)32275.8443.37-1.6359:05

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).