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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Brazeau's goal at 14:21 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.3, PIT 3.4; shots on goal were NYI 37, PIT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (3 A), 2. Harrison Brunicke (1 G), 3. Justin Brazeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin3 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    H. Brunicke1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Brazeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI112213012337
PITPIT1112918428

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(1)PPG
    E. Malkin (3), S. Crosby (1)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:23
  2. NYI
    J. Drouin(1)
    M. Schaefer (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:02

2nd period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(1)
    M. Barzal (1), S. Mayfield (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:04
  2. PIT
    H. Brunicke(1)
    F. Hallander (1), T. Novak (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:41
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(1)PPG
    E. Malkin (4), R. Rakell (1)
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:58
  4. NYI
    M. Shabanov(1)
    S. Holmstrom (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:19

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Brazeau(3)
    E. Malkin (5), A. Mantha (2)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:21

Penalties

NYI 25 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:00NYIAlexander Romanov · High stickingdrawn by Filip Hallander2 min
  • 7:41PITNoel Acciari · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 7:00NYIKyle Palmieri · Roughingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
  • 7:00PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 8:43NYIBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 11:40PITErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 13:38NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min

3rd

  • 2:15NYISimon Holmstrom · Hookingdrawn by Harrison Brunicke2 min
  • 16:15PITBen Kindel · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 19:45NYIJonathan Drouin · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Dewar5 min
  • 19:45NYIJonathan Drouin · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Brazeau, 3rd 14:21 — PIT 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.31S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.27R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.25E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.24E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.22T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.16J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.15K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.13E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09H. Brunicke · Goal · xG 0.08C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03H. Brunicke · On goal · xG 0.03P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02H. Brunicke · On goal · xG 0.02V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
3.33 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.10 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI51%49%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
37
Shots on goal
28
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
2/5
25
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD000030.05020—23:35
14B. HorvatC000+170.812026221:16
13M. BarzalC011040.220127021:01
21K. PalmieriC101080.37002020:39
28A. RomanovD000000.03522—20:24
29J. DrouinL101+110.220015—19:47
3A. PelechD000030.04100—18:05
6R. PulockD000000.00010—18:04
48M. SchaeferD011+110.03100—17:15
27A. LeeL000041.00310—16:47
24S. MayfieldD011+110.03100—15:30
44J. PageauC000+110.213106013:21
51E. HeinemanL000+100.1421010013:12
53C. CizikasC000-110.042204712:33
10S. HolmstromR011+100.00002—11:50
11A. DuclairL000-110.06020—11:19
7M. TsyplakovR000-110.00200—10:59
49M. ShabanovR101+110.09000—09:45
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)28244.8573.39-0.6157:45

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).