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Rangers at Sabres
NHL

New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
0
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 11:43 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 46% to 60%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.9, BUF 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 33, BUF 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carson Soucy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin37 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Soucy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11605312433
BUFBUF011014012037

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(1)
    V. Trocheck (1), A. Panarin (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:43

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Soucy(1)
    W. Borgen (1), J. Miller (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:46
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(1)
    B. Schneider (1), A. Lafrenière (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:11
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(1)EN
    S. Carrick (1)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    4-0
    17:25

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:14BUFMason Geertsen · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 0:28NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 6:22NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Interferencedrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 14:28NYRBraden Schneider · Roughingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 14:28BUFJason Zucker · Roughingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 17:58NYRWill Borgen · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 0:04BUFTage Thompson · High stickingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 6:54NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 9:24BUFJustin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNYR goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 1st 11:43 — NYR 46% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.17T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.15R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.14T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.08J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsBUF
2.93 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR45%55%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsBUF
33
Shots on goal
37
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD101+140.58040—23:17
44V. GavrikovD000+220.05000—21:23
10A. PanarinL011+320.25000—21:10
8J. MillerC112+310.234006719:52
24C. SoucyD101+220.07100—19:40
93M. ZibanejadC000010.101007118:57
4B. SchneiderD011+130.09602—18:49
50W. CuylleL000+120.1722410016:24
17W. BorgenD011+210.00212—16:23
13A. LafrenièreL112+250.69100—15:54
43C. ShearyL000010.01110—15:21
18U. VaakanainenD000010.03022—15:00
14T. RaddyshR000020.02000—14:50
42N. LabaC000020.112107813:21
39S. CarrickC011+100.003205012:36
84A. EdstromC000020.21000009:45
73M. RempeC000+110.16510009:30
16V. TrocheckC011+110.090206407:48
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)373701.0002.63+2.6360:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).