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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 19:59 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.1, EDM 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 24, EDM 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 17 of 20 (.850); Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK291718424
EDMEDM260717320

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(4)
    C. McDavid (13), L. Draisaitl (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:19
  2. EDM
    C. Perry(5)PPG
    E. Bouchard (6), R. Nugent-Hopkins (6)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:12
  3. VGK
    N. Roy(2)
    N. Hague (2), K. Kolesar (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:17
  4. VGK
    R. Smith(2)
    J. Eichel (9), Z. Whitecloud (2)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:11

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(3)
    N. Hanifin (4), A. Pietrangelo (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:05

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)
    E. Bouchard (7), L. Draisaitl (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +41 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:58
  2. VGK
    R. Smith(3)
    W. Karlsson (3), B. McNabb (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +52 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:59

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:44EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 10:22VGKZach Whitecloud · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 11:09VGKIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 18:06EDMZach Hyman · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Adin Hill2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 19:59 — VGK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.39R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.33C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.31C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.18C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.00C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.0 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.14 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
20
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000010.19010—23:08
9J. EichelC011-110.060105022:12
15N. HanifinD011+300.00210—22:07
7A. PietrangeloD011+100.04110—21:26
49I. BarbashevL000-110.17512—20:21
3B. McNabbD011-100.00330—19:39
71W. KarlssonC112+330.191005018:22
19R. SmithR202+340.20300—16:38
48T. HertlC000060.844004416:06
16P. DorofeyevR000010.04000—15:54
21B. HowdenC000000.005006715:44
2Z. WhitecloudD011+100.00332—15:27
14N. HagueD011020.03420—14:57
10N. RoyC101020.38000014:12
95V. OlofssonL000020.312005013:05
55K. KolesarR011+100.00800—11:18
70T. PearsonL000+200.00100—10:40
61M. StoneR000-110.61000—05:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)20173.8503.000.0060:00

Series

EDM leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).