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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

Final/2OTTV TBS, MAX·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in double overtime, Simon Nemec scoring at 2:36. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Nemec's goal at 2:36 of the second overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 27, NJD 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Nemec (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (25 saves, .926), 3. Frederik Andersen (34 saves, .919).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    S. Nemec1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen34 saves, .919

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR04014260201227
NJDNJD1809180913337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:11

3rd period

  1. NJD
    pokexG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:18
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:11
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:20

2OT overtime

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:36

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:09NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 12:50NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Roughingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 12:50CARSeth Jarvis · Roughingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min

2nd

  • 3:41NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 8:31CARDmitry Orlov · Interferencedrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min
  • 16:10CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

3rd

  • 5:05NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 6:24CARWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 12:08NJDBrett Pesce · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 4:14CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 13:56CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Nemec, 2OT 2:36 — NJD 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.49D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.46N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.30T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.29E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.26E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.15N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.15P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.08E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.08D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.06B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.04S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.00T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 4.4 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
2.72 G
All situations
3 G4.4
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G4.1
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 109 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR29%71%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 3.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/4
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
39
Hits
43
17
Blocked shots
33
10
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-110.14020—33:23
8B. BurnsD000-110.01022—29:55
5J. ChatfieldD000000.02230—27:46
24S. JarvisR101-110.23312—26:21
7D. OrlovD000-120.04522—26:19
20S. AhoC112-140.624004425:34
53J. BlakeR000-150.26100—22:19
11J. StaalC000-100.003024821:50
26S. WalkerD000-120.04310—21:41
37A. SvechnikovR011020.30100—21:38
4S. GostisbehereD011-200.00010—21:32
71T. HallL000-110.12010—19:33
22L. StankovenC000-120.30110019:00
82J. KotkaniemiC000030.251105718:56
48J. MartinookL000-100.17402—18:48
50E. RobinsonL000-100.00300—16:25
96J. RoslovicC000-110.062204715:28
28W. CarrierL000020.10602—14:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)37343.9194.42+1.4282:36

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).