Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 11:15 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.9, WSH 3.7; shots on goal were MTL 29, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Logan Thompson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (28 saves, .966), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Strome (2 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Thompson28 saves, .966

- ★★T. Wilson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Strome2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-19:12
0-211:15
2nd period
0-316:59
3rd period
1-32:40
1-419:34
Penalties
1st
- 7:06
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
- 8:34
Juraj Slafkovský · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
- 13:50
Brandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
2nd
- 5:45
Mike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
- 16:41
Jake Evans · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 1st 11:15 — 67% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.91 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.7
- 2.51 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.69
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 44
- Hits
- 29
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 5
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Series
WSH leads 4-1
2@
3OTFinal
1@
3Final
3@
6Final
5@
2Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
