Blue Jackets at Flyers 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸3

Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV FDSNOH, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dante Fabbro's goal at 2:32 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were CBJ 34, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jet Greaves (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Dante Fabbro (1 G), 3. Samuel Ersson (31 saves, .912).

Three stars

★
J. Greaves29 saves, 1.000
★★
D. Fabbro1 G
★★★
S. Ersson31 saves, .912

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	09	214	111	334
PHI	09	012	08	029

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

D. Fabbro(8)
Z. Werenski (57), S. Monahan (36)
slapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
1-0
2:32
K. Johnson(24)PPG
S. Monahan (37), Z. Werenski (58)
wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
2-0
17:01

3rd period

A. Fantilli(30)
K. Marchenko (42), I. Provorov (26)
tip-inxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
3-0
13:26

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

9:54Justin Danforth · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
13:35Dmitri Voronkov · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

13:56Tyson Foerster · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
16:54Emil Andrae · Interferencedrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min

3rd

10:55Adam Fantilli · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PHI

Biggest swing: Dante Fabbro, 2nd 2:32 — CBJ 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.3 xG · 45 att PHI

0 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.33 G
All situations: 0 G2.9; 2.22 G
Even strength: 0 G2.3; 0.11 G
Power play: 0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

39%61%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 29; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 1/2
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 15
Hits: 33; 9
Blocked shots: 20; 9
Giveaways: 16; 6
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
9I. ProvorovD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	27:03
8Z. WerenskiD	0	2	2	+1	5	0.13	0	0	0	—	25:43
15D. FabbroD	1	0	1	+1	2	0.10	0	1	0	—	21:56
44E. GudbransonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	—	21:32
38B. JennerC	0	0	0	+1	4	0.12	2	1	0	0	18:33
23S. MonahanC	0	2	2	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	73	17:34
86K. MarchenkoR	0	1	1	+2	2	0.21	0	0	0	—	17:01
19A. FantilliC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.36	0	1	2	0	16:49
5D. MateychukD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	15:47
91K. JohnsonC	1	0	1	0	3	0.14	0	1	0	0	15:44
10D. VoronkovL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	0	2	33	15:15
4C. SillingerC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	27	13:49
24M. OlivierR	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	1	0	0	—	13:06
27Z. Aston-ReeseL	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	—	12:17
17J. DanforthR	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	3	0	2	75	12:05
21J. van RiemsdykL	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	0	0	0	—	11:48
7S. KuralyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	0	67	11:29
22J. HarrisD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	06:29

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
73J. Greaves(W)	29	29	0	1.000	2.92	+2.92	60:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score