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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Final/OTTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Cutter Gauthier scoring at 1:11. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 1:11 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 39, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Matt Coronato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY01311121500339
ANAANA070531011423

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(12)
    M. Weegar (38), J. Hanley (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:18

3rd period

  1. ANA
    T. Zegras(12)
    O. Kylington (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +34 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:49
  2. CGY
    Y. Sharangovich(14)
    J. Farabee (14), J. Hanley (7)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +38 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:44
  3. CGY
    M. Coronato(23)
    M. Backlund (15), B. Coleman (21)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:18
  4. ANA
    F. Vatrano(21)
    O. Zellweger (13), R. Strome (31)
    slapxG 0.27win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:03
  5. ANA
    C. Gauthier(18)
    L. Carlsson (22), A. Killorn (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +42 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:11

Overtime

  1. ANA
    C. Gauthier(19)
    L. Carlsson (23)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:11

Penalties

CGY 2 PIM·ANA 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:46ANALeo Carlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:42CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 16:40ANAPavel Mintyukov · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 4:46ANARadko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 17:21ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 4:28ANAOliver Kylington · Slashingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 8:24ANADrew Helleson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, OT 1:11 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.27C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.17T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.16S. Colangelo · Missed · xG 0.16I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.11T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.11S. Colangelo · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helleson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
3.13 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY62%38%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
39
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/6
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
12
8
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011+130.07030—27:53
91N. KadriC000-250.330105923:23
10J. HuberdeauL000-110.271105023:17
27M. CoronatoR101040.530105022:41
4R. AnderssonD000-130.10040—22:22
11M. BacklundC112+150.230025920:30
44J. HanleyD022+100.00000—20:11
20B. ColemanL011+210.18330—19:53
7K. BahlD000010.02000—19:35
43A. KlapkaR000-220.11010—16:51
86J. FarabeeL011030.2020010014:38
17Y. SharangovichC101030.741005013:38
76M. PospisilC000+120.03000010:33
24J. BeanD000-130.03000—10:01
16M. FrostC000030.281105009:40
94B. PachalD000-100.00010—09:26
21K. RooneyC000000.030005008:42
70R. LombergL000-100.00000—08:19
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(O)23194.8262.31-1.6961:11

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).