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Wild at Islanders
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV FDSNNO, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Wild scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 4:02 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 28, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G), 3. Casey Cizikas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0111908128
NYINYI0421419327

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(18)
    M. Johansson (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:42
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(7)
    N. Dobson (28), P. Engvall (6)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:18
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(18)
    M. Tsyplakov (24), R. Pulock (17)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:02

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(9)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (13)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:36

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:26MINJon Merrill · Hookingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 13:41NYIHudson Fasching · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 11:04NYIBo Horvat · Boardingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 2:49MINYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 14:37MINGustav Nyquist · Slashingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMIN goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 2nd 4:02 — NYI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.35B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.13P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.11H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.10S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.08C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.07H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.05K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.03P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.00M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYI
2.11 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN44%56%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYI
28
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
14
26
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-120.04120—26:18
46J. SpurgeonD000020.21110—24:00
25J. BrodinD000020.06020—22:58
12M. BoldyL000020.1712010022:32
36M. ZuccarelloR101030.23020—21:38
90M. JohanssonL011010.13110—20:41
23M. RossiC000010.232105419:54
17M. FolignoL000030.20120—18:43
89F. GaudreauC000-110.090103517:07
38R. HartmanR000030.301202214:16
4J. MerrillD000010.01042—13:31
41G. NyquistR000-130.14122—13:10
24Z. BogosianD000000.00000—13:06
5J. MiddletonD000-100.01220—12:23
18V. HinostrozaC000-100.0011010010:41
13Y. TreninC000020.09602009:34
19D. ShoreC000010.090008309:09
15J. BrazeauR000010.06310—08:30
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)27243.8892.43-0.5757:02

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).