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Avalanche at Blue Jackets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
Columbus Blue Jackets
3
FinalTV FDSNOH, ALT·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Parker Kelly's goal at 14:02 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.9, CBJ 2.8; shots on goal were COL 32, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 21 of 28 (.750), 4.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 3. Charlie Coyle (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Coyle1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21031428732
CBJCBJ1122909330

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(31)
    A. Lehkonen (17), D. Toews (32)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:25
  2. CBJ
    S. Monahan(17)
    D. Fabbro (16), D. Voronkov (23)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:35
  3. COL
    B. Nelson(24)
    C. Makar (59), D. Toews (33)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:05

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Aston-Reese(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:16
  2. CBJ
    B. Jenner(6)
    J. Johnson (6), K. Johnson (28)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:56
  3. COL
    C. Coyle(16)
    M. Wood (3), E. Johnson (3)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:39
  4. COL
    P. Kelly(8)
    J. Drury (9)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:02
  5. COL
    C. Makar(30)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (82), C. Coyle (10)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:22

3rd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(9)
    C. Makar (60), N. MacKinnon (83)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +6 ptsVideo
    6-3
    4:01
  2. COL
    M. Wood(3)
    C. Coyle (11)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    7-3
    5:49

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:50CBJMathieu Olivier · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

2nd

  • 1:27COLserved by M. Wood · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:52COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Kirill Marchenko2 min
  • 18:09CBJZachary Aston-Reese · Slashingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

3rd

  • 17:45COLLogan O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCOL goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Parker Kelly, 2nd 14:02 — COL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.26B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.21S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.21B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.20B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.16I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.12K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.12D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.01D. Mateychuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCBJ
2.97 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.66 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL50%50%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCBJ
32
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. LindgrenD000-150.09320—22:45
8C. MakarD123+330.31020—21:33
7D. ToewsD123+310.01010—21:18
13V. NichushkinR000010.16300—19:13
70S. MalinskiD000020.05020—18:30
6E. JohnsonD011+100.00120—18:23
29N. MacKinnonC123020.230005217:31
11B. NelsonC101020.391005517:22
62A. LehkonenL011040.32002—15:59
67K. MiddletonD000000.01120—15:02
20R. ColtonC000-120.14010015:00
10C. CoyleC123+220.141103614:55
17P. KellyC101+230.331405014:43
25L. O'ConnorR000+200.06012—13:19
26J. VeseyL000-130.15210—13:04
18J. DruryC011+100.260005312:29
94J. KivirantaL000+210.0121010011:35
28M. WoodL112+210.20000—11:33
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)30273.9002.82-0.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).