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Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Kasper's goal at 5:37 of the first period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.1, DET 1.9; shots on goal were BOS 21, DET 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Cam Talbot stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lucas Raymond (1 G), 2. Cam Talbot (20 saves, .952), 3. Marco Kasper (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    C. Talbot20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Kasper1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS091804121
DETDET191706222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:37

2nd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(26)PPG
    M. Seider (33), P. Kane (33)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:53
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie(27)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:12

Penalties

BOS 16 PIM·DET 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:06DETAlex DeBrincat · Fightingdrawn by Andrew Peeke5 min
  • 1:06BOSAndrew Peeke · Fightingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat5 min
  • 2:01DETAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Jakub Lauko5 min
  • 2:01BOSJakub Lauko · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 2:01DETAustin Watson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:34BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

2nd

  • 1:33DETMarco Kasper · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 17:52BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

3rd

  • 1:19BOSFabian Lysell · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalBOS goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Kasper, 1st 5:37 — DET 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.22L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.21A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.20A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.13L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kasper · Goal · xG 0.07L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsDET
2.11 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS55%45%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsDET
21
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
22
39
Hits
38
9
Blocked shots
7
17
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91N. ZadorovD000040.09202—23:09
20H. JokiharjuD000010.02100—21:54
52A. PeekeD000000.00315—21:15
39M. GeekieC101-110.183004021:03
88D. PastrnakR011-130.15402—20:33
29P. WotherspoonD000-100.00020—19:59
18P. ZachaC000-100.241002219:41
11C. MittelstadtC000030.540004017:55
28E. LindholmC000010.006007517:43
6M. LohreiD011-130.23010—16:44
14I. MitchellD000000.00020—14:38
45C. KoepkeL000010.07400—14:27
95V. LettieriC000010.08300013:06
92M. KhusnutdinovC000000.001105012:23
23F. LysellR000020.19102—11:15
19J. BeecherC000000.003005011:09
38P. BrownC000010.30620010:42
94J. LaukoC000000.00105009:11
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)22202.9091.91-0.0957:54

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).