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Golden Knights at Blackhawks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, SCRIPPS·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 16:49 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 57% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 22, CHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Donato (3 G), 2. Victor Olofsson (2 G), 3. William Karlsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Donato3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    V. Olofsson2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK052938522
CHICHI162708321

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:15

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:41
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.27win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:34
  3. CHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:14
  4. CHI
    slapxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:29

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:06
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.17win prob +35 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:49
  3. VGK
    B. Howden(21)EN
    wristxG 0.52win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:16

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:47CHIArtyom Levshunov · Interferencedrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 12:36VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 15:57CHITeuvo Teravainen · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalVGK goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, 3rd 16:49 — VGK 57% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.17F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.16F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.16I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.15R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.14R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.11P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.11N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.11F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.10R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.10J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.10F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.09F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.08C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.00I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCHI
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK50%50%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCHI
22
Shots on goal
21
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD011+210.02000—20:51
3B. McNabbD000000.00010—20:25
14N. HagueD000010.02110—20:15
9J. EichelC011+200.000103319:21
27S. TheodoreD000020.08022—19:08
6K. KorczakD000-120.05210—18:57
61M. StoneR112+230.56210—18:55
2Z. WhitecloudD000+100.00310—17:50
71W. KarlssonC033+200.031106416:42
49I. BarbashevL011+130.471005016:10
16P. DorofeyevR101-110.22100—14:55
19R. SmithR011+220.02000—14:24
21B. HowdenC101010.531005714:19
20B. SaadL000-210.02000—14:11
95V. OlofssonL202+240.52100—13:36
55K. KolesarR011-200.00310—13:31
10N. RoyC000-200.001304213:22
70T. PearsonL000-110.00100—11:08
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)21183.8572.04-0.9660:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).