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Stars at Oilers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 5:01 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 24, EDM 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (3 G), 2. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Perry1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    A. Henrique1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL1531405424
EDMEDM014013317344

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(27)
    J. Benn (29), T. Harley (31)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:26

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(30)
    R. Hintz (33), M. Rantanen (47)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:01
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(31)
    R. Hintz (34)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:42
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(32)PPG
    T. Harley (32), R. Hintz (35)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    15:30

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(16)PPG
    J. Walman (31), A. Henrique (10)
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:30
  2. EDM
    A. Henrique(10)PPG
    C. Perry (9), E. Bouchard (43)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:54
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(26)
    E. Bouchard (44), M. Ekholm (24)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:35

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:55DALRoope Hintz · Hookingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 10:47DALMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 15:59EDMViktor Arvidsson · High stickingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

2nd

  • 8:32DALJason Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 13:33EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 15:20EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 20:00DALLian Bichsel · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 9:26DALLian Bichsel · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 12:18DALEvgenii Dadonov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 12:34DALSam Steel · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Calvin Pickard2 min
  • 12:34EDMJake Walman · Roughingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDAL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 5:01 — DAL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.47R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.34A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.27C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.27Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.25Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.24M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.19C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.19Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.17J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.16D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.15M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.08B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 5.2 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsEDM
2.94 G
All situations
3 G5.2
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.61 G
Power play
2 G2.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL14%86%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 5.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
44
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000-110.47110—24:41
55T. HarleyD022+230.05010—23:32
44C. CeciD000010.14030—20:51
64M. GranlundC000010.011006720:40
53W. JohnstonC101+110.240102018:31
21J. RobertsonL303+150.80002—18:00
46I. LyubushkinD000+130.04070—17:39
96M. RantanenR011+110.23110—17:36
95M. DucheneC000030.270001016:43
24R. HintzC033+100.002024115:18
6L. BichselD000000.03204—14:56
27M. MarchmentL000030.31110—14:25
3M. DumbaD000+210.03112—13:15
14J. BennL011+100.000008911:40
63E. DadonovL000+100.15002—11:13
10O. BäckC000000.0001010010:57
18S. SteelC000010.100326010:42
15C. BlackwellC000000.000005009:41
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)44413.9325.19+2.1960:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).