Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 5-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Skinner's goal at 12:31 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were SEA 32, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 28 of 32 (.875). Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 G), 2. Kaapo Kakko (2 G), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).
Three stars
- ★R. Nugent-Hopkins3 G

- ★★K. Kakko2 G

- ★★★J. Skinner1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-114:30
1-115:49
2nd period
1-23:48
2-27:01
2-312:31
2-418:11
3rd period
3-45:57
3-517:43
4-517:57
Penalties
1st
- 12:38
Adam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
- 15:11
Brett Kulak · Interferencedrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
2nd
- 1:44
Adam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
- 12:48
Eeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
- 15:26
Vince Dunn · High sticking double minordrawn by Zach Hyman4 min
3rd
- 16:34
Vasily Podkolzin · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
- 19:14
Jared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jeff Skinner, 2nd 12:31 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.74 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.1
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 1.32 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.76
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 2/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 13
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 17
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
