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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.5, STL 2.7; shots on goal were CHI 27, STL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Maroon, 2. Alexey Toropchenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan Walker (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Maroon
  2. ★★
    STL
    A. Toropchenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    N. Walker1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0611308127
STLSTL0521327425

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    batxG 0.28win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:13
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:20
  3. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:06

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:12
  2. STL
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:43

Penalties

CHI 24 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 15:03CHIJason Dickinson · Instigatordrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 15:03CHIJason Dickinson · Fightingdrawn by Jake Neighbours5 min
  • 15:03STLJake Neighbours · Fightingdrawn by Jason Dickinson5 min
  • 15:03CHIJason Dickinson · Instigator misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 18:45CHITyler Bertuzzi · Trippingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

3rd

  • 5:59CHIPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min
  • 5:59STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 2nd 15:13 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.28Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.20D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.20N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.19B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.15A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.15O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.14R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.05A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.04A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.04P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.51 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.20 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI48%52%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
0/2
24
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000-120.02210—26:03
55A. LevshunovD000-100.00120—23:30
44W. KaiserD000-200.00010—22:41
38E. Del MastroD000-200.01220—21:39
5C. MurphyD000000.02310—21:16
8R. DonatoC000-140.480105018:07
90J. VelenoC000-130.192105017:50
95I. MikheyevR101040.31110—17:37
59T. BertuzziL000030.27202—17:24
17N. FolignoL000-110.001102717:16
98C. BedardC000-130.321005017:16
86T. TeravainenC000-300.00100017:03
91F. NazarC000-130.471006414:41
84L. SlaggertL000-110.22110—13:41
77P. MaroonL000-110.16105—10:41
73L. ReichelL000010.020003310:25
25A. MartinezD000000.00000—04:55
16J. DickinsonC000010.0300173303:55
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)25214.8402.66-1.3460:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).