Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 3:37. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 3:37 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.1 to 3.3; shots on goal were MTL 41, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (38 saves, .927), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Horvat2 G

- ★★I. Sorokin38 saves, .927

- ★★★P. Laine1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-15:37
1-111:58
2nd period
1-216:40
3rd period
1-32:31
2-34:32
3-314:16
Overtime
3-43:37
Penalties
1st
- 3:50
Brendan Gallagher · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ilya Sorokin2 min
- 9:22
Adam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
- 14:03
Anders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
2nd
- 0:31
Brendan Gallagher · Interferencedrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
- 1:47
Noah Dobson · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
- 15:20
Mike Matheson · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
3rd
- 4:15
Kyle MacLean · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
- 4:32
served by P. Engvall · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 3:37 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.13 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.3
- 2.72 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 1.41 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.04 – 3.13
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 41
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 2/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 19
- 28
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 11
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-1
3@
4SOFinal
1@
2OTFinal
3@
4OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
