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Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNW·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Kings scored first; the Wild answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 15:22 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 29, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Faber, 3. Filip Gustavsson (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1801308129
MINMIN091528322

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(28)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:59

2nd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:51

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy (35), R. Hartman (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:22
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.38win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:04

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:42MINMarco Rossi · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 1:47LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 5:20MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:26MINGustav Nyquist · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 0:50MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 2:27LAKPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 14:48LAKTrevor Moore · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalLAK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 3rd 15:22 — MIN 60% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.38M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.21R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.09D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.06D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gaunce · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsMIN
2.21 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.20 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
1.01 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK68%32%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 1.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-140.29112—24:25
9A. KempeR101-130.48210—20:29
22K. FialaL011010.1800010019:14
55Q. ByfieldR000000.191004718:41
44M. AndersonD000000.02320—18:32
92B. ClarkeD000020.18120—18:23
84V. GavrikovD000010.02010—18:12
11A. KopitarC000000.001405417:59
6J. EdmundsonD000000.00040—17:22
24P. DanaultC000-110.022123817:18
12T. MooreL000-130.07102—16:56
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.03000—16:51
37W. FoegeleL000-120.06010—16:40
14A. LaferriereR000-160.43020—15:36
21J. SpenceD000040.12000—15:07
10T. JeannotL000000.00100—09:23
15A. TurcotteC000010.07110009:23
79S. HeleniusC000000.004005609:05
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)21192.9051.33-0.6757:46

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).