Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 6:09 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 23, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G).
Three stars
- ★V. Arvidsson1 G

- ★★R. Nugent-Hopkins3 A

- ★★★C. McDavid1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-019:17
2nd period
1-15:00
3rd period
2-16:09
3-116:35
Penalties
1st
- 1:08
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
- 4:37
Zac Jones · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 11:23
J.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 18:53
K'Andre Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
2nd
- 7:12
J.T. Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 12:48
Vasily Podkolzin · Hookingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
3rd
- 9:13
Jeff Skinner · Cross checkingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 3rd 6:09 — 48% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.23 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.7
- 1.42 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 17
- Hits
- 18
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 17
- Giveaways
- 15
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 2-0
2@
6Final
3@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
