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Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 6:09 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 23, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    V. Arvidsson1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1100627323
NYRNYR071807122

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(15)PPG
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:17

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.40win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:00

3rd period

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:09
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:35

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:08EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 4:37NYRZac Jones · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 11:23NYRJ.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:53NYRK'Andre Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

2nd

  • 7:12NYRJ.T. Miller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:48EDMVasily Podkolzin · Hookingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

3rd

  • 9:13EDMJeff Skinner · Cross checkingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalEDM goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 3rd 6:09 — EDM 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.40W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.35M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.35M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.22A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.20J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.19C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.18M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.17J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.12S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.02B. Othmann · On goal · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 3.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNYR
2.23 G
All situations
1 G3.7
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM21%79%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
22
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000010.03100—23:34
25D. NurseD000+130.06120—23:27
96J. WalmanD000010.01160—22:40
29L. DraisaitlC011-120.570103320:48
97C. McDavidC101+110.160106920:42
27B. KulakD011+100.01020—20:32
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC033+200.120123819:06
90C. PerryR101-120.11000—16:08
19A. HenriqueC000030.202005815:46
28C. BrownR000-110.12000—15:00
33V. ArvidssonL101+140.35100—14:44
49T. EmbersonD000010.03110—14:24
42K. KapanenR000000.00110—12:58
13M. JanmarkC000+100.000005012:00
92V. PodkolzinR000+110.05532—11:59
53J. SkinnerL000010.3200210011:45
51T. StecherD000010.08110—10:51
46M. JonesL000010.02300—07:36
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)22211.9553.69+2.6960:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).