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Blues at Wild
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV FDSNMW, FDSNNO·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Neighbours's goal at 10:51 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 28, MIN 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (3 G), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Fowler (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Fowler2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1828212528
MINMIN061705118

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(15)
    C. Fowler (19), A. Toropchenko (11)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:17

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(17)
    R. Thomas (36), P. Buchnevich (32)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:51
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(25)
    B. Schenn (27), C. Fowler (20)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    12:22
  3. MIN
    J. Middleton(8)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:47

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(26)
    D. Holloway (28), J. Faulk (23)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:30
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(27)EN
    P. Buchnevich (33), R. Thomas (37)
    wristxG 0.76Video
    5-1
    17:40

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:59MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 15:35MINMarcus Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 18:54STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalSTL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Neighbours, 2nd 10:51 — STL 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.18R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08J. Middleton · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsMIN
4.74 G
All situations
1 G1.9
3.14 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL75%25%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
18
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
19
20
Giveaways
14
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011+240.06200—22:47
6P. BrobergD000+210.05110—21:41
17C. FowlerD022+110.01000—19:49
4N. LeddyD000+100.00020—19:24
89P. BuchnevichL022+220.1403010018:33
81D. HollowayL011+220.56310—17:47
18R. ThomasC022+210.060126717:40
63J. NeighboursL101+120.56110—17:03
75T. TuckerD000+130.05120—16:47
25J. KyrouR303+331.63010—16:08
22R. SuterD000+100.00000—15:59
10B. SchennC112+120.520007115:28
13A. ToropchenkoR011010.02310—13:41
12R. FaksaC000+120.270305413:39
26N. WalkerL000030.37430—13:24
70O. SundqvistC000010.071004412:50
71M. JosephR000000.2110010012:45
76Z. BolducR000000.12000—12:35
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)18171.9441.89+0.8960:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).