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New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 7-3. The Devils scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 4:24 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were NJD 27, PIT 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.2 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Philip Tomasino (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Dewar (2 G), 3. Conor Timmins (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Tomasino1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. Dewar2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    C. Timmins2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1607214327
PITPIT271849724

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (58), L. Hughes (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:08
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:11
  3. PIT
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:36

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:24

3rd period

  1. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:22
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(19)PPG
    J. Bratt (59), S. Nemec (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:40
  3. NJD
    L. Hughes (27), J. Bratt (60)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-4
    6:40
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin (31), K. Letang (19)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:17
  5. PIT
    wristxG 0.78Video
    3-6
    19:05
  6. PIT
    wristxG 0.07Video
    3-7
    19:38

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·PIT 12 PIM

1st

  • 12:02PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 1:37PITVladislav Kolyachonok · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 11:44NJDBrett Pesce · High sticking double minordrawn by Rickard Rakell4 min

3rd

  • 3:21PITNoel Acciari · High sticking double minordrawn by Brian Dumoulin4 min
  • 5:46PITEvgeni Malkin · High sticking double minordrawn by Brett Pesce4 min
  • 12:25NJDBrett Pesce · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 4:24 — PIT 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.78C. Dewar · Goal · xG 0.28S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.24D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.23B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.22S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.16K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.16K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.15B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.12N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03B. Imama · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 3.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
2.63 G
All situations
6 G3.8
1.11 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
1.52 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
23
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD022-110.10000—26:31
63J. BrattL033030.19200—22:53
13N. HischierC101-230.160005522:46
28T. MeierR101-260.28200—21:21
8J. KovacevicD000-210.03210—18:10
22B. PesceD000010.09026—18:08
5B. DillonD000-220.03420—16:45
11S. NoesenR000-120.174003316:20
91D. MercerC000-200.242003316:17
2B. DumoulinD000-210.01000—16:14
12C. GlassC101+110.151203815:58
18O. PalatL000-220.59100—14:22
10D. SprongR000020.23210—14:10
17S. NemecD011-210.06000—13:56
42C. LazarC000-200.002005011:31
90T. TatarL000-300.11000—10:50
47P. CotterL000-210.01100—10:12
14N. BastianR000-200.18000—09:43
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)23176.7392.76-3.2458:01

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).