Skip to content
Golden Knights at Penguins
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Erik Karlsson scoring at 0:49. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 0:49 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.4, PIT 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 37, PIT 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 0.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 35 of 37 (.946). Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (2 G), 3. Noah Hanifin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    N. Hanifin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK091911900237
PITPIT14180411317

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(22)PPG
    R. Rakell (26), K. Hayes (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:48

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(23)
    R. Rakell (27)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:02
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(25)PPG
    N. Hanifin (23), J. Eichel (58)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:29

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Hanifin(9)
    M. Stone (40), P. Dorofeyev (16)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:53

Overtime

  1. PIT
    E. Karlsson(9)
    E. Malkin (30), K. Letang (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:49

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:36VGKVictor Olofsson · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 16:57VGKTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 0:04VGKNicolas Roy · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 14:09PITPhilip Tomasino · Trippingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

3rd

  • 0:47VGKZach Whitecloud · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalVGK goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, OT 0:49 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Kolyachonok · Missed · xG 0.17E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.16B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.16E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.15R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.14C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.13E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsPIT
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsPIT
37
Shots on goal
17
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
10
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
22
12
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000-150.11020—23:25
15N. HanifinD112020.09000—22:57
14N. HagueD000020.03000—21:56
61M. StoneR011+140.36110—20:39
9J. EichelC011050.270003620:20
48T. HertlC000030.191026519:39
3B. McNabbD000000.00020—19:01
16P. DorofeyevR112-160.58000—18:24
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.00222—18:17
20B. SaadL000010.14000—17:34
19R. SmithR000020.11000—17:00
10N. RoyC000000.130026716:25
55K. KolesarR000040.22410—14:26
95V. OlofssonL000000.00002—13:47
6K. KorczakD000010.03010—13:44
70T. PearsonL000010.09100—09:48
46J. RondbjergR000000.01000—06:02
22C. SchwindtR000010.05100—03:34
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(O)17143.8242.36-0.6459:27

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).