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Blue Jackets at Panthers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FDSNOH, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mackie Samoskevich's goal at 6:34 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 73% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.3 to 1.2; shots on goal were CBJ 16, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky16 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ070306016
FLAFLA11611218336

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov (41), A. Ekblad (29)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:58

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:34

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(17)EN
    wristxG 0.68Video
    0-3
    17:48

Penalties

CBJ 20 PIM·FLA 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:58CBJJames van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 4:52CBJDenton Mateychuk · Holdingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 5:58CBJserved by J. van Riemsdyk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 9:34FLAJonah Gadjovich · Roughingdrawn by Joseph LaBate2 min
  • 9:34CBJJoseph LaBate · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 9:34FLAJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Joseph LaBate5 min
  • 19:03FLAJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 19:03CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min

2nd

  • 5:39CBJDenton Mateychuk · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 8:35FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

3rd

  • 4:06FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 10:29FLANate Schmidt · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:20CBJDenton Mateychuk · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCBJ goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mackie Samoskevich, 2nd 6:34 — FLA 73% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.68C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.28C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.26M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.19E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.14E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bobrovsky · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.00G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.00A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsFLA
1.20 G
All situations
2 G4.3
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ13%87%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.22 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsFLA
16
Shots on goal
36
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/4
Power play
2/5
20
Penalty minutes
18
24
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000-120.20130—28:49
15D. FabbroD000000.00020—22:58
9I. ProvorovD000010.09220—22:01
86K. MarchenkoR000-120.08100—20:21
19A. FantilliC000-110.141004719:27
10D. VoronkovL000-110.10200—18:40
38B. JennerC000000.025107218:39
91K. JohnsonC000010.07000018:38
5D. MateychukD000010.01006—15:54
21J. van RiemsdykL000020.1810210014:57
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.00120—13:39
78D. SeversonD000010.02140—13:32
17J. DanforthR000000.003005813:30
7S. KuralyC000010.031005012:22
2J. ChristiansenD000010.02310—11:04
59E. ChinakhovR000-110.13100—10:48
24M. OlivierR000-100.0000510010:34
14J. LaBateC000010.16105006:15
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)35332.9433.61+1.6159:51

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).