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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV FDSNOH, FDSNSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 1:27 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were CBJ 33, TBL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.1 goals below expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Zach Werenski (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1918016233
TBLTBL210218212640

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    M. Chaffee(12)
    E. Lilleberg (14), D. Raddysh (22)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:30
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(28)
    J. Guentzel (31)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:37
  3. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(19)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:20

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(28)
    V. Hedman (39), B. Point (31)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:27
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(10)
    N. Kucherov (61), D. Raddysh (23)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:36
  3. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(20)SHG
    A. Fantilli (20), K. Johnson (23)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:49

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(11)PPG
    B. Point (32), N. Kucherov (62)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:44
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(29)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.62Video
    2-6
    17:53

Penalties

CBJ 18 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:06CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 9:06CBJMathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 9:06CBJMathieu Olivier · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:47TBLRyan McDonagh · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 18:09TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 18:09CBJJames van Riemsdyk · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

3rd

  • 8:55CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 15:18TBLJ.J. Moser · Interferencedrawn by Kent Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 2nd 1:27 — TBL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.62E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.54N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.23B. Point · On goal · xG 0.22B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.06M. Chaffee · Goal · xG 0.06Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.00J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 4.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
3.22 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ51%49%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
33
Shots on goal
40
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
18
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
10
18
Blocked shots
22
20
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD202040.31020—29:55
15D. FabbroD000+100.00010—24:59
19A. FantilliC011030.132102919:13
86K. MarchenkoR000-310.24000—18:58
9I. ProvorovD000-310.03020—18:05
91K. JohnsonC011-130.34010017:17
38B. JennerC000-330.401005517:05
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000-130.40600—15:16
2J. ChristiansenD000030.10000—15:07
5D. MateychukD000-300.27000—15:02
17J. DanforthR000-100.110306115:01
10D. VoronkovL000-120.3401010014:58
59E. ChinakhovR000-220.12300—13:25
78D. SeversonD000030.06012—13:19
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.0000210013:13
7S. KuralyC000000.000002712:39
24M. OlivierR000040.334014—11:28
14J. LaBateC000010.04360011:01
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)39345.8722.90-2.1057:10

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).