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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSUN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aleksander Barkov's goal at 9:02 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 29, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966), 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL01007112129
FLAFLA07211011229

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(15)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:02
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(16)PPG
    M. Samoskevich (10), A. Ekblad (28)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:16

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(32)
    D. Raddysh (21), J. Guentzel (30)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:07

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·FLA 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:36FLANiko Mikkola · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:50FLANiko Mikkola · Cross checkingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

2nd

  • 9:41TBLEmil Lilleberg · Holdingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 10:04FLAAaron Ekblad · Boardingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 15:10TBLJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 16:04FLAEetu Luostarinen · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Guentzel4 min

3rd

  • 2:21FLATomas Nosek · High stickingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 16:05TBLBrandon Hagel · Holding the stickdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 19:51FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Aleksander Barkov, 2nd 9:02 — FLA 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.13E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
3.61 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL72%28%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.52 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/7
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
14
12
Hits
38
12
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86N. KucherovR000050.3811010027:58
21B. PointC101040.790003126:13
77V. HedmanD000020.33010—23:43
59J. GuentzelC011020.250004421:50
43D. RaddyshD011+120.13110—20:41
71A. CirelliC000010.361005018:15
38B. HagelL000030.09102—17:40
41M. ChaffeeR000020.47100—17:33
27R. McDonaghD000010.36010—16:51
20N. PaulL000010.100005016:38
81E. CernakD000010.02030—16:00
90J. MoserD000-120.04112—13:13
93G. GoncalvesC000010.11100012:44
11L. GlendeningC000000.001206710:55
48N. PerbixD000000.02010—10:47
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.082003310:25
78E. LillebergD000000.00102—08:27
23M. EyssimontC000010.03110007:12
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29272.9312.21+0.2158:49

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).